The spread (Buffalo Bulls side) opened at +15 and the market has since moved it to +13.5 — a 1.5-point move toward Buffalo Bulls. It last moved Thursday 11:57 AM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
The total opened at 48.5 and the market has since moved it to 46 — a 2.5-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 8:55 AM (48 → 47). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 8:57 PM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.1% of the time when taken at the opening number (1325 games, CI 53.4–58.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every number left behind is at books we don't use (williamhill_us) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 7 mph (gusts 8), 60°F, 0% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | +13.5 | -104 | Thu 11:57 AM |
| williamhill_us | +13.5 | -110 | Mon 8:55 AM |
| onexbet | +13.5 | -105 | Thu 8:57 AM |
| pinnacle | +13.5 | 101 | Thu 11:57 AM |
| betsson | +13.5 | -108 | Thu 6:27 PM |
| nordicbet | +13.5 | -109 | Thu 6:27 PM |
| betonlineag | +14 | -105 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +14 | -110 | Thu 1:57 PM |
| gtbets | +14 | -109 | Thu 1:57 PM |
| lowvig | +14 | -106 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| fanatics | +14 | -110 | Thu 8:57 PM |
| mybookieag | +14 | -110 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| betus | +14 | -110 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| betmgm | +14 | -108 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| betanysports | +14 | -105 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| bovada | +14 | -115 | Thu 11:57 AM |
| coolbet | +14 | -112 | Thu 11:57 AM |
| everygame | +14 | -110 | Thu 12:56 AM |
| betrivers | +14.5 | -115 | Thu 6:57 PM |
| leovegas_se | +14.5 | -117 | Thu 6:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | +14.5 | -115 | Thu 6:57 PM |
| unibet_se | +14.5 | -115 | Thu 6:57 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betsson | +45.5 | -114 | Thu 6:27 PM |
| nordicbet | +45.5 | -115 | Thu 6:27 PM |
| betonlineag | +46 | -110 | Tue 10:26 AM |
| gtbets | +46 | -109 | Thu 8:57 PM |
| lowvig | +46 | -108 | Tue 10:26 AM |
| mybookieag | +46 | -110 | Thu 7:57 PM |
| betus | +46 | -110 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| betanysports | +46 | -110 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| bovada | +46 | -110 | Thu 8:57 PM |
| pinnacle | +46 | -110 | Thu 8:57 PM |
| coolbet | +46 | -109 | Thu 6:27 PM |
| everygame | +46 | -110 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +46.5 | -108 | Thu 8:57 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +46.5 | -105 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| fanatics | +46.5 | -110 | Wed 10:26 AM |
| betmgm | +46.5 | -108 | Thu 8:57 PM |
| betrivers | +46.5 | -118 | Tue 3:56 PM |
| unibet_nl | +46.5 | -118 | Tue 3:56 PM |
| onexbet | +46.5 | -110 | Thu 8:57 AM |
| williamhill_us | +47 | -112 | Mon 8:55 AM |