The spread (Texas Longhorns side) opened at -1.5 and the market has since moved it to +1 — a 2.5-point move toward Ohio State Buckeyes. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:58 AM (-1.5 → +1). The number is still moving — last change Monday 11:58 AM.
The total opened at 47.5 and the market has since moved it to 48.5 — a 1.0-point move upward (toward the over). The biggest single jump we captured came Sunday 7:59 PM (47.5 → 48.5). The number is still moving — last change Monday 11:58 AM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.3% of the time when taken at the opening number (640 games, CI 52.4–60). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Right now the bet exists because draftkings -1.5 (-102) has not caught up to the market — you'd be getting part of the move for free. That gap usually closes within hours, so the number in the app is the truth: if it's gone, the bet is gone.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 11 mph (gusts 11), 101°F, 4% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | -1.5 | -106 | Sat 5:10 PM |
| draftkings ★ | -1.5 | -102 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| onexbet | -1.5 | -105 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| betsson | -1.5 | -118 | Sun 12:22 AM |
| nordicbet | -1.5 | -118 | Sun 4:49 AM |
| betanysports | -1.5 | -110 | Sun 7:59 PM |
| betrivers | -1 | -112 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| unibet_nl | -1 | -112 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| leovegas_se | -1 | -112 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| unibet_se | -1 | -112 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| coolbet | -1 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| williamhill_us | -1 | -107 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| lowvig | -1 | -103 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betonlineag | -1 | -107 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| gtbets | -1 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betmgm | -1 | -108 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betus | -1 | -110 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| mybookieag | -1 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| everygame | -1 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| pinnacle | +1 | -108 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanatics | +1 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| bovada | +1 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betrivers | +48 | -114 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| unibet_nl | +48 | -114 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| betsson | +48 | -115 | Sun 12:22 AM |
| nordicbet | +48 | -115 | Sun 4:49 AM |
| fanduel ★ | +48.5 | -108 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| coolbet | +48.5 | -109 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +48.5 | -112 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| williamhill_us | +48.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| onexbet | +48.5 | -110 | Sun 7:04 AM |
| betmgm | +48.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| lowvig | +48.5 | -108 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betonlineag | +48.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| pinnacle | +48.5 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| gtbets | +48.5 | -109 | Sun 7:59 PM |
| fanatics | +48.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betus | +48.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betanysports | +48.5 | -110 | Sun 7:59 PM |
| mybookieag | +48.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| bovada | +49 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |