The spread (Texas State Bobcats side) opened at +1 and the market has since moved it to -1.5 — a 2.5-point move toward Texas State Bobcats. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:58 AM (+1 → -1.5). The number is still moving — last change Monday 11:58 AM.
The total has barely moved — it opened at 64.5 and sits at 64.5 now. No signal either way.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.3% of the time when taken at the opening number (640 games, CI 52.4–60). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every number left behind is at books we don't use (betanysports) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| draftkings ★ | -1.5 | -108 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanduel ★ | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| lowvig | -1.5 | -106 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betonlineag | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| gtbets | -1.5 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betmgm | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| leovegas_se | -1.5 | -112 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betrivers | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| unibet_se | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| unibet_nl | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| williamhill_us | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanatics | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| pinnacle | -1.5 | -108 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betus | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| mybookieag | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| bovada | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| everygame | -1.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betanysports | +1 | -110 | Sun 7:59 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | +64.5 | -110 | Sun 4:49 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +64.5 | -108 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| gtbets | +64.5 | -109 | Sun 2:23 PM |
| betmgm | +64.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betrivers | +64.5 | -112 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| unibet_nl | +64.5 | -112 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| williamhill_us | +64.5 | -110 | Sun 2:23 PM |
| lowvig | +64.5 | -108 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betonlineag | +64.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| fanatics | +64.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| pinnacle | +64.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betus | +64.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| mybookieag | +64.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| bovada | +64.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betanysports | +64.5 | -110 | Sun 7:59 PM |