Anthropick

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South Alabama Jaguars @ Tulane Green Wave
Sat, 9/12, 7:00 PM ET · dashed line = opening number · ★ = our books (DK/FD)
Analysis

The spread (Tulane Green Wave side) opened at -10 and the market has since moved it to -9 — a 1.0-point move toward South Alabama Jaguars. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:58 AM (-10.5 → -9). The number is still moving — last change Monday 11:58 AM.

The total has barely moved — it opened at 50.5 and sits at 50.5 now. No signal either way.

We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move ~56% of the time when taken at the opening number (historical bucket). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.

Every number left behind is at books we don't use (onexbet, betanysports, coolbet, betmgm, mybookieag) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.

Our logged picks on this game
total under +55.5 @ draftkings — pending
Spread (Tulane Green Wave) ○ PASS open -10 (home) -> now -9 | move 1.0 toward South Alabama Jaguars
→ take South Alabama Jaguars
open -10 -9 Sun, 9/6 latest Spread (Tulane Green Wave) — pinnacle line over time
BookLinePriceAs of
onexbet -10.5 -110 Sun 7:59 PM
coolbet -10 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
betmgm -10 -108 Mon 11:58 AM
mybookieag -10 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
betanysports -10 -110 Sun 7:59 PM
draftkings ★ -9.5 -118 Mon 11:58 AM
fanduel ★ -9.5 -115 Mon 11:58 AM
lowvig -9.5 -106 Mon 11:58 AM
betonlineag -9.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
gtbets -9.5 -109 Mon 11:58 AM
williamhill_us -9.5 -113 Mon 11:58 AM
leovegas_se -9.5 -112 Mon 11:58 AM
unibet_se -9.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
unibet_nl -9.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
betrivers -9.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
betus -9.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
bovada -9.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
fanatics -9.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
everygame -9.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
pinnacle -9 -113 Mon 11:58 AM
Total (over) no meaningful move off the opener yet
open +50.5 +50.5 Sun, 9/6 latest Total (over) — pinnacle line over time
BookLinePriceAs of
coolbet +50 -112 Mon 12:50 AM
betus +50 -110 Mon 12:50 AM
mybookieag +50 -110 Mon 8:43 AM
draftkings ★ +50.5 -105 Mon 8:43 AM
fanduel ★ +50.5 -110 Sun 6:09 PM
gtbets +50.5 -109 Sun 6:09 PM
betmgm +50.5 -108 Mon 12:50 AM
lowvig +50.5 -108 Sun 6:09 PM
betonlineag +50.5 -110 Sun 6:09 PM
williamhill_us +50.5 -107 Mon 11:58 AM
unibet_nl +50.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
betrivers +50.5 -110 Mon 11:58 AM
onexbet +50.5 -110 Mon 12:50 AM
pinnacle +50.5 -108 Mon 8:43 AM
bovada +50.5 -110 Sun 6:09 PM
betanysports +50.5 -110 Sun 7:59 PM
fanatics +50.5 -110 Sun 7:59 PM
How to read this: the chart shows the sharp line drifting away from the dashed opener — that drift is the edge (3+ point movers cover ~62% historically). The book table shows who has repriced and who is still selling an old number. A bet only exists at a ★ book whose line is meaningfully behind the market.