The spread (Louisiana Ragin Cajuns side) has barely moved — it opened at -6.5 and sits at -6.5 now. No signal either way.
The total opened at 47 and the market has since moved it to 48 — a 1.0-point move upward (toward the over). The biggest single jump we captured came Tuesday 11:56 AM (47 → 48). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 3:57 PM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move ~56% of the time when taken at the opening number (historical bucket). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every number left behind is at books we don't use (williamhill_us) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 9 mph (gusts 9), 78°F, 85% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| draftkings ★ | -6.5 | -115 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| gtbets | -6.5 | -114 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| fanatics | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| fanduel ★ | -6.5 | -118 | Wed 5:26 PM |
| williamhill_us | -6.5 | -118 | Sun 11:25 PM |
| mybookieag | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betmgm | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| bovada | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| pinnacle | -6.5 | -107 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| coolbet | -6.5 | -112 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| onexbet | -6.5 | -111 | Thu 6:27 AM |
| betrivers | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| leovegas_se | -6.5 | -112 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| unibet_nl | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| unibet_se | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| everygame | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| matchbook | -6.5 | -111 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| betonlineag | -6 | -115 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| lowvig | -6 | -112 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betus | -6 | -115 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betanysports | -6 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| williamhill_us | +47 | -113 | Mon 6:25 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +47.5 | -115 | Tue 1:26 PM |
| gtbets | +47.5 | -114 | Tue 1:26 PM |
| fanatics | +47.5 | -115 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +47.5 | -114 | Tue 11:26 AM |
| mybookieag | +47.5 | -110 | Tue 11:56 AM |
| betmgm | +47.5 | -115 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| betus | +47.5 | -110 | Tue 1:56 PM |
| betanysports | +47.5 | -110 | Tue 11:26 AM |
| coolbet | +47.5 | -112 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| onexbet | +47.5 | -118 | Thu 6:27 AM |
| betrivers | +47.5 | -104 | Tue 11:56 AM |
| unibet_nl | +47.5 | -104 | Tue 11:56 AM |
| everygame | +47.5 | -110 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| betonlineag | +48 | -105 | Tue 1:56 PM |
| lowvig | +48 | -103 | Tue 1:56 PM |
| bovada | +48 | -105 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| pinnacle | +48 | -105 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| matchbook | +48 | -105 | Thu 6:27 AM |