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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Kansas Jayhawks
Sat, 10/3, 12:00 PM ET · dashed line = opening number · ★ = our books (DK/FD)
Analysis

The spread (Kansas Jayhawks side) has barely moved — it opened at -20 and sits at -20 now. No signal either way.

The total opened at 50.5 and the market has since moved it to 50 — a 0.5-point move downward (toward the under). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 3:57 PM.

We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move ~56% of the time when taken at the opening number (historical bucket). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.

Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.

Forecast at kickoff: wind 7 mph (gusts 11), 63°F, 0% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.

Our logged picks on this game
spread away +20.5 @ draftkings — pending
Spread (Kansas Jayhawks) no meaningful move off the opener yet
open -20 -20 Mon, 9/28 latest Spread (Kansas Jayhawks) — pinnacle line over time
BookLinePriceAs of
bovada -20 -105 Thu 4:27 PM
pinnacle -20 -104 Thu 4:27 PM
betrivers -20 -109 Thu 3:27 PM
leovegas_se -20 -110 Thu 3:27 PM
unibet_nl -20 -109 Thu 3:27 PM
unibet_se -20 -109 Thu 3:27 PM
betonlineag -19.5 -110 Thu 4:27 PM
draftkings ★ -19.5 -112 Thu 1:27 PM
fanduel ★ -19.5 -110 Thu 12:57 PM
gtbets -19.5 -109 Thu 12:57 PM
lowvig -19.5 -106 Thu 4:27 PM
fanatics -19.5 -110 Thu 12:57 PM
betmgm -19.5 -110 Thu 4:27 PM
mybookieag -19.5 -110 Thu 12:57 PM
betus -19.5 -110 Thu 4:27 PM
betanysports -19.5 -110 Thu 12:57 PM
onexbet -19.5 -110 Thu 3:57 PM
betsson -19.5 -109 Thu 4:57 PM
everygame -19.5 -110 Thu 12:57 PM
nordicbet -19.5 -110 Thu 4:57 PM
matchbook -19.5 -103 Thu 4:27 PM
coolbet -19 -110 Thu 4:57 PM
Total (over) ○ PASS open 50.5 -> now 50 | move -0.5
→ take UNDER
open +50.5 +50 Mon, 9/28 latest Total (over) — pinnacle line over time
BookLinePriceAs of
betonlineag +49 -110 Tue 12:26 PM
lowvig +49 -108 Tue 12:26 PM
draftkings ★ +49.5 -110 Tue 11:26 AM
fanduel ★ +49.5 -110 Tue 11:26 AM
gtbets +49.5 -109 Tue 11:26 AM
fanatics +49.5 -110 Thu 4:27 PM
betmgm +49.5 -108 Tue 11:26 AM
mybookieag +49.5 -110 Wed 12:56 PM
betus +49.5 -110 Tue 12:26 PM
betanysports +49.5 -110 Tue 11:26 AM
onexbet +49.5 -110 Thu 8:57 AM
coolbet +49.5 -112 Thu 4:57 PM
betrivers +49.5 -112 Thu 2:57 PM
unibet_nl +49.5 -112 Thu 2:57 PM
betsson +49.5 -114 Thu 4:57 PM
nordicbet +49.5 -115 Thu 4:57 PM
everygame +49.5 -110 Thu 10:27 AM
bovada +50 -105 Thu 4:27 PM
pinnacle +50 -104 Thu 3:57 PM
matchbook +50 -103 Thu 3:57 PM
How to read this: the chart shows the sharp line drifting away from the dashed opener — that drift is the edge (3+ point movers cover ~62% historically). The book table shows who has repriced and who is still selling an old number. A bet only exists at a ★ book whose line is meaningfully behind the market.