The spread (Kansas State Wildcats side) opened at -16.5 and the market has since moved it to -17.5 — a 1.0-point move toward Kansas State Wildcats. The biggest single jump we captured came Sunday 2:23 PM (-16.5 → -19.5). The number is still moving — last change Monday 11:58 AM.
The total opened at 51.5 and the market has since moved it to 49.5 — a 2.0-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 8:43 AM (51.5 → 50.5). The number is still moving — last change Monday 11:58 AM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.1% of the time when taken at the opening number (1325 games, CI 53.4–58.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Right now the bet exists because fanduel 50.5 (-110) has not caught up to the market — you'd be getting part of the move for free. That gap usually closes within hours, so the number in the app is the truth: if it's gone, the bet is gone.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 7 mph (gusts 6), 81°F, 16% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betsson | -18.5 | -102 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| nordicbet | -18.5 | -102 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| onexbet | -18.5 | -105 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| unibet_se | -18 | -113 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| leovegas_se | -18 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| unibet_nl | -18 | -113 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betrivers | -18 | -113 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanduel ★ | -17.5 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| coolbet | -17.5 | -109 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| mybookieag | -17.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| draftkings ★ | -17.5 | -112 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betonlineag | -17.5 | -110 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| lowvig | -17.5 | -106 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| gtbets | -17.5 | -109 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| williamhill_us | -17.5 | -110 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| fanatics | -17.5 | -115 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betmgm | -17.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betus | -17.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| everygame | -17.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| coolbet | +49.5 | -112 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +49.5 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betsson | +49.5 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| nordicbet | +49.5 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| onexbet | +49.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| gtbets | +49.5 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| williamhill_us | +49.5 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betonlineag | +49.5 | -105 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| lowvig | +49.5 | -103 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanatics | +49.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betmgm | +49.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| mybookieag | +49.5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betus | +49.5 | -105 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| unibet_nl | +50 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betrivers | +50 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanduel ★ | +50.5 | -110 | Mon 8:43 AM |