The spread (North Texas Mean Green side) opened at +4.5 and the market has since moved it to +4 — a 0.5-point move toward North Texas Mean Green. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 8:43 AM (+5 → +4). It last moved Monday 8:43 AM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
The total has barely moved — it opened at 57 and sits at 57 now. No signal either way.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move ~56% of the time when taken at the opening number (historical bucket). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
Our logged pick — total under +61.5 at draftkings — pushed.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | +3.5 | -108 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +3.5 | -102 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betonlineag | +3.5 | -108 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| lowvig | +3.5 | -104 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| gtbets | +3.5 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| williamhill_us | +3.5 | -107 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betus | +3.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| everygame | +3.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| coolbet | +4 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betmgm | +4 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| unibet_nl | +4 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betrivers | +4 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| leovegas_se | +4 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| unibet_se | +4 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanatics | +4 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| pinnacle | +4 | -105 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| bovada | +4 | -105 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| onexbet | +4.5 | -105 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| mybookieag | +4.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betanysports | +4.5 | -110 | Sun 7:59 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| gtbets | +57 | -109 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betonlineag | +57 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| lowvig | +57 | -108 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| fanatics | +57 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| pinnacle | +57 | -109 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| betus | +57 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| bovada | +57 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betanysports | +57 | -110 | Sun 7:59 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +57.5 | -110 | Sun 4:49 AM |
| coolbet | +57.5 | -110 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +57.5 | -105 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betmgm | +57.5 | -108 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| unibet_nl | +57.5 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betrivers | +57.5 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| williamhill_us | +57.5 | -104 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| onexbet | +57.5 | -105 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| mybookieag | +57.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |