The spread (Illinois Fighting Illini side) has barely moved — it opened at -6 and sits at -6 now. No signal either way.
The total opened at 53.5 and the market has since moved it to 51.5 — a 2.0-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Tuesday 11:30 AM (53.5 → 51.5). The number is still moving — last change Tuesday 11:59 AM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.1% of the time when taken at the opening number (1325 games, CI 53.4–58.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every number left behind is at books we don't use (onexbet) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 8 mph (gusts 10), 87°F, 10% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| onexbet | -6.5 | -105 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| draftkings ★ | -6 | -110 | Tue 11:00 AM |
| gtbets | -6 | -109 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| leovegas_se | -6 | -113 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betrivers | -6 | -112 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| unibet_nl | -6 | -112 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| unibet_se | -6 | -112 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betonlineag | -6 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| lowvig | -6 | -106 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betmgm | -6 | -108 | Tue 11:59 AM |
| williamhill_us | -6 | -109 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| fanatics | -6 | -110 | Mon 6:28 PM |
| betus | -6 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| pinnacle | -6 | -102 | Tue 11:59 AM |
| mybookieag | -6 | -110 | Tue 8:29 AM |
| betanysports | -6 | -110 | Mon 2:57 PM |
| everygame | -6 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| fanduel ★ | -5.5 | -115 | Mon 3:28 PM |
| coolbet | -5.5 | -112 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| bovada | -5.5 | -115 | Tue 6:59 AM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betonlineag | +51 | -112 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| lowvig | +51 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betus | +51 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| bovada | +51 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| fanduel ★ | +51.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +51.5 | -115 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| gtbets | +51.5 | -109 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betmgm | +51.5 | -108 | Tue 11:59 AM |
| williamhill_us | +51.5 | -112 | Tue 11:59 AM |
| fanatics | +51.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| pinnacle | +51.5 | -104 | Tue 11:59 AM |
| betanysports | +51.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| coolbet | +52 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betrivers | +52 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| unibet_nl | +52 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| mybookieag | +52 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| onexbet | +53.5 | -110 | Tue 3:29 AM |