The spread (Alabama Crimson Tide side) has barely moved — it opened at +3 and sits at +3 now. No signal either way.
The total opened at 50.5 and the market has since moved it to 54.5 — a 4.0-point move upward (toward the over). The biggest single jump we captured came Wednesday 7:26 PM (50.5 → 54.5). It last moved Wednesday 7:26 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.4% of the time when taken at the opening number (798 games, CI 58–64.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | +2.5 | -105 | Wed 9:56 PM |
| betrivers | +3 | -112 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| coolbet | +3 | -112 | Wed 4:26 PM |
| leovegas_se | +3 | -113 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | +3 | -112 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| unibet_se | +3 | -112 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +3 | -110 | Tue 3:25 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betrivers | +54.5 | -115 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| coolbet | +54.5 | -112 | Wed 9:26 PM |
| unibet_nl | +54.5 | -115 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +54.5 | -110 | Wed 7:26 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +55.5 | -110 | Wed 9:26 PM |