The spread (South Florida Bulls side) opened at -5.5 and the market has since moved it to -6.5 — a 1.0-point move toward South Florida Bulls. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 8:55 AM (-5.5 → -6.5). It last moved Wednesday 9:26 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
The total opened at 51.5 and the market has since moved it to 48 — a 3.5-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 4:25 PM (51 → 50). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 4:27 PM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.4% of the time when taken at the opening number (798 games, CI 58–64.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every number left behind is at books we don't use (betsson, matchbook, nordicbet) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 9 mph (gusts 19), 79°F, 77% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betrivers | -7 | -109 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| leovegas_se | -7 | -110 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | -7 | -109 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| unibet_se | -7 | -109 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| fanduel ★ | -6.5 | -110 | Wed 11:26 AM |
| coolbet | -6.5 | -109 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| betonlineag | -6.5 | -104 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| draftkings ★ | -6.5 | -112 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| gtbets | -6.5 | -109 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| lowvig | -6.5 | 100 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| fanatics | -6.5 | -110 | Wed 9:26 PM |
| onexbet | -6.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 AM |
| betsson | -6.5 | -109 | Mon 9:55 AM |
| nordicbet | -6.5 | -110 | Mon 9:55 AM |
| williamhill_us | -6.5 | -110 | Tue 3:56 PM |
| mybookieag | -6.5 | -110 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| betmgm | -6.5 | -108 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| betus | -6.5 | -105 | Wed 11:26 PM |
| betanysports | -6.5 | -110 | Tue 3:56 PM |
| bovada | -6.5 | -110 | Wed 9:26 PM |
| pinnacle | -6.5 | -108 | Wed 9:26 PM |
| everygame | -6.5 | -110 | Wed 7:56 AM |
| matchbook | -6.5 | -109 | Thu 7:57 AM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betrivers | +47.5 | -114 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | +47.5 | -114 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| betonlineag | +48 | -107 | Wed 11:56 PM |
| lowvig | +48 | -105 | Wed 11:56 PM |
| betus | +48 | -110 | Tue 11:26 PM |
| betanysports | +48 | -110 | Tue 11:26 AM |
| pinnacle | +48 | -116 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +48.5 | -108 | Wed 3:56 AM |
| coolbet | +48.5 | -110 | Thu 9:27 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +48.5 | -108 | Wed 3:56 AM |
| gtbets | +48.5 | -109 | Tue 11:26 AM |
| fanatics | +48.5 | -105 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| onexbet | +48.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 AM |
| williamhill_us | +48.5 | -106 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| mybookieag | +48.5 | -110 | Wed 2:26 PM |
| betmgm | +48.5 | -105 | Wed 3:56 AM |
| bovada | +48.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| everygame | +48.5 | -110 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| matchbook | +49 | 100 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| betsson | +51 | -116 | Mon 9:55 AM |
| nordicbet | +51 | -118 | Mon 9:55 AM |