The spread (BYU Cougars side) has barely moved — it opened at -7.5 and sits at -7.5 now. No signal either way.
The total opened at 50.5 and the market has since moved it to 48.5 — a 2.0-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Tuesday 11:30 AM (50.5 → 48.5). The number is still moving — last change Tuesday 11:30 AM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.1% of the time when taken at the opening number (1325 games, CI 53.4–58.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every number left behind is at books we don't use (onexbet) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 13 mph (gusts 26), 86°F, 5% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| coolbet | -8 | -109 | Tue 12:30 PM |
| unibet_se | -8 | -109 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| unibet_nl | -8 | -109 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betrivers | -8 | -109 | Mon 3:28 PM |
| leovegas_se | -8 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| draftkings ★ | -7.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| fanduel ★ | -7.5 | -110 | Sun 4:49 AM |
| lowvig | -7.5 | -112 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betonlineag | -7.5 | -116 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| gtbets | -7.5 | -109 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| williamhill_us | -7.5 | -109 | Sun 2:23 PM |
| betmgm | -7.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| onexbet | -7.5 | -112 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| fanatics | -7.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| pinnacle | -7.5 | -106 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betus | -7.5 | -110 | Mon 11:29 PM |
| mybookieag | -7.5 | -110 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| bovada | -7.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betanysports | -7.5 | -110 | Mon 5:28 PM |
| everygame | -7.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| williamhill_us | +48 | -112 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| fanduel ★ | +48.5 | -106 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| coolbet | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +48.5 | -115 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| unibet_nl | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betrivers | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betmgm | +48.5 | -105 | Tue 12:30 PM |
| gtbets | +48.5 | -109 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| lowvig | +48.5 | -103 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| betonlineag | +48.5 | -105 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| fanatics | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 11:59 AM |
| pinnacle | +48.5 | -113 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| mybookieag | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 11:30 AM |
| bovada | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 12:30 PM |
| betus | +49 | -110 | Tue 11:00 AM |
| betanysports | +49 | -110 | Tue 11:00 AM |
| onexbet | +49.5 | -111 | Tue 11:30 AM |