The spread (Miami (OH) RedHawks side) opened at -15 and the market has since moved it to -13 — a 2.0-point move toward Bowling Green Falcons. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 8:55 AM (-14.5 → -13.5). It last moved Wednesday 4:56 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
The total opened at 47 and the market has since moved it to 43 — a 4.0-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:55 AM (46 → 43). It last moved Wednesday 8:26 AM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.4% of the time when taken at the opening number (798 games, CI 58–64.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 11 mph (gusts 12), 67°F, 0% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| draftkings ★ | -13.5 | -110 | Thu 6:57 AM |
| gtbets | -13.5 | -109 | Thu 6:57 AM |
| fanduel ★ | -13.5 | -105 | Mon 11:25 AM |
| fanatics | -13.5 | -110 | Wed 7:56 AM |
| mybookieag | -13.5 | -110 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| betmgm | -13.5 | -108 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| betanysports | -13.5 | -110 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| bovada | -13.5 | -110 | Wed 7:56 AM |
| onexbet | -13.5 | -110 | Thu 9:27 AM |
| betrivers | -13.5 | -117 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| leovegas_se | -13.5 | -118 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | -13.5 | -117 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| unibet_se | -13.5 | -117 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| everygame | -13.5 | -110 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| betonlineag | -13 | -116 | Wed 1:26 PM |
| lowvig | -13 | -112 | Wed 1:26 PM |
| betus | -13 | -115 | Wed 12:56 PM |
| pinnacle | -13 | -114 | Wed 4:56 PM |
| coolbet | -13 | -112 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betonlineag | +43 | -110 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| lowvig | +43 | -108 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| fanatics | +43 | -110 | Thu 5:57 AM |
| mybookieag | +43 | -110 | Mon 11:55 AM |
| betus | +43 | -110 | Wed 10:56 PM |
| betanysports | +43 | -110 | Mon 11:25 AM |
| pinnacle | +43 | -112 | Wed 8:26 AM |
| coolbet | +43 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| everygame | +43 | -110 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +43.5 | -105 | Wed 10:26 AM |
| gtbets | +43.5 | -109 | Thu 11:27 AM |
| fanduel ★ | +43.5 | -108 | Tue 6:55 AM |
| betmgm | +43.5 | -108 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| bovada | +43.5 | -110 | Wed 8:26 AM |
| onexbet | +43.5 | -105 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| betrivers | +43.5 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| unibet_nl | +43.5 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |