The spread (UMass Minutemen side) opened at -4.5 and the market has since moved it to -6 — a 1.5-point move toward UMass Minutemen. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 8:55 PM (-4.5 → -5.5). It last moved Thursday 2:27 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
The total has barely moved — it opened at 48.5 and sits at 48.5 now. No signal either way.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move ~56% of the time when taken at the opening number (historical bucket). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | -6.5 | -105 | Thu 12:57 PM |
| draftkings ★ | -6 | -108 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| betonlineag | -6 | -105 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| gtbets | -6 | -109 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| lowvig | -6 | -101 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betus | -6 | -110 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| betanysports | -6 | -110 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| betrivers | -6 | -113 | Thu 12:57 PM |
| leovegas_se | -6 | -114 | Thu 12:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | -6 | -113 | Thu 12:57 PM |
| unibet_se | -6 | -113 | Thu 12:57 PM |
| pinnacle | -6 | 100 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| everygame | -6 | -110 | Thu 12:57 PM |
| fanatics | -5.5 | -110 | Thu 1:57 PM |
| williamhill_us | -5.5 | -108 | Sun 3:25 PM |
| betmgm | -5.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| bovada | -5.5 | -110 | Thu 1:57 PM |
| onexbet | -5.5 | -110 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| coolbet | -5.5 | -110 | Thu 12:57 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| draftkings ★ | +48.5 | -110 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| betonlineag | +48.5 | -112 | Tue 11:56 AM |
| fanduel ★ | +48.5 | -112 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| gtbets | +48.5 | -109 | Mon 2:55 PM |
| lowvig | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 11:56 AM |
| williamhill_us | +48.5 | -108 | Sun 2:25 PM |
| betmgm | +48.5 | -110 | Thu 12:57 PM |
| betus | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 11:26 AM |
| betanysports | +48.5 | -110 | Mon 4:55 PM |
| betrivers | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 5:55 AM |
| unibet_nl | +48.5 | -110 | Tue 5:55 AM |
| onexbet | +48.5 | -110 | Thu 4:57 AM |
| pinnacle | +48.5 | -115 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| everygame | +48.5 | -110 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| fanatics | +49 | -110 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| mybookieag | +49 | -110 | Wed 9:26 AM |
| bovada | +49 | -110 | Wed 9:26 AM |
| coolbet | +49 | -110 | Wed 5:26 PM |