◉ Anthropick

The spread (Auburn Tigers side) opened at -1.5 and the market has since moved it to +1.5 — a 2.8-point move toward Florida Gators.

The total opened at 53.5 and the market has since moved it to 49.5 — a 4.3-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Wednesday 7:22 PM (53.5 → 49.5). It last moved Wednesday 7:22 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.

We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.4% of the time when taken at the opening number (798 games, CI 58–64.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.

Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.

How to read this: the chart shows the sharp line drifting away from the dashed opener — that drift is the edge (3+ point movers cover ~62% historically). The book table shows who has repriced and who is still selling an old number. A bet only exists at a ★ book whose line is meaningfully behind the market.