The spread (Oklahoma Sooners side) opened at +6 and the market has since moved it to +9.5 — a 3.5-point move toward Texas Longhorns. The biggest single jump we captured came Wednesday 7:26 PM (+6 → +9.5). It last moved Thursday 1:27 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
The total opened at 48.5 and the market has since moved it to 41.5 — a 7.0-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Wednesday 7:26 PM (48.5 → 41.5). It last moved Wednesday 7:26 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.4% of the time when taken at the opening number (798 games, CI 58–64.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betrivers | +9.5 | -108 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| coolbet | +9.5 | -109 | Wed 7:26 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +9.5 | -106 | Tue 11:26 AM |
| leovegas_se | +9.5 | -109 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | +9.5 | -108 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| unibet_se | +9.5 | -108 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +9.5 | -105 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betrivers | +41.5 | -114 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| coolbet | +41.5 | -112 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +41.5 | -110 | Wed 9:56 PM |
| unibet_nl | +41.5 | -114 | Thu 2:57 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +41.5 | -110 | Wed 7:26 PM |