The spread (Florida State Seminoles side) opened at +2.5 and the market has since moved it to +3 — a 0.5-point move toward SMU Mustangs. The number is still moving — last change Monday 5:28 PM.
The total opened at 52.5 and the market has since moved it to 54.5 — a 2.0-point move upward (toward the over). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:58 AM (53 → 54). The number is still moving — last change Monday 5:59 PM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.1% of the time when taken at the opening number (1325 games, CI 53.4–58.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 9 mph (gusts 15), 89°F, 8% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| mybookieag | +2.5 | 100 | Mon 3:28 PM |
| gtbets | +2.5 | 101 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| lowvig | +2.5 | 109 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| betonlineag | +2.5 | 105 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +2.5 | -104 | Mon 3:58 PM |
| unibet_nl | +2.5 | -109 | Mon 4:58 PM |
| betrivers | +2.5 | -109 | Mon 4:58 PM |
| leovegas_se | +2.5 | -110 | Mon 4:58 PM |
| unibet_se | +2.5 | -109 | Mon 4:58 PM |
| everygame | +2.5 | 100 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +2.5 | -102 | Mon 3:28 PM |
| williamhill_us | +2.5 | -102 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| fanatics | +2.5 | 100 | Mon 3:28 PM |
| onexbet | +2.5 | -105 | Mon 2:57 PM |
| betsson | +2.5 | -105 | Mon 5:28 PM |
| nordicbet | +2.5 | -105 | Mon 5:28 PM |
| betmgm | +3 | -118 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| bovada | +3 | -120 | Mon 5:28 PM |
| betus | +3 | -115 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| coolbet | +3 | -118 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| betanysports | +3 | -120 | Mon 5:28 PM |
| pinnacle | +3 | -114 | Mon 5:28 PM |
| matchbook | +3 | -112 | Mon 5:28 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betmgm | +54.5 | -112 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| bovada | +54.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| gtbets | +54.5 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanduel ★ | +54.5 | -115 | Mon 4:29 PM |
| pinnacle | +54.5 | -111 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +54.5 | -118 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| everygame | +54.5 | -115 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| williamhill_us | +54.5 | -117 | Mon 4:29 PM |
| fanatics | +54.5 | -115 | Mon 3:58 PM |
| matchbook | +54.5 | -111 | Mon 3:58 PM |
| onexbet | +54.5 | -110 | Mon 2:07 PM |
| betsson | +54.5 | -119 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| nordicbet | +54.5 | -119 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| mybookieag | +55 | -110 | Mon 2:07 PM |
| lowvig | +55 | -103 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| betonlineag | +55 | -105 | Mon 5:59 PM |
| betus | +55 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| coolbet | +55 | -109 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| unibet_nl | +55 | -108 | Mon 4:58 PM |
| betrivers | +55 | -108 | Mon 4:58 PM |
| betanysports | +55 | -110 | Mon 3:28 PM |