The spread (NC State Wolfpack side) opened at +6 and the market has since moved it to +4 — a 2.0-point move toward NC State Wolfpack. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:25 AM (+6.5 → +5.5). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 5:57 PM.
The total opened at 60.5 and the market has since moved it to 58.5 — a 2.0-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:55 AM (60.5 → 58.5). It last moved Wednesday 8:26 AM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.3% of the time when taken at the opening number (640 games, CI 52.4–60). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 7 mph (gusts 8), 75°F, 61% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| draftkings ★ | +3.5 | -108 | Wed 12:56 PM |
| coolbet | +3.5 | -109 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| betsson | +3.5 | -109 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +3.5 | -105 | Wed 4:56 PM |
| nordicbet | +3.5 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| betrivers | +3.5 | -112 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| leovegas_se | +3.5 | -113 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | +3.5 | -112 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| unibet_se | +3.5 | -112 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| onexbet | +3.5 | -105 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| betonlineag | +3.5 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| gtbets | +3.5 | -109 | Wed 12:56 PM |
| lowvig | +3.5 | -106 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| fanatics | +3.5 | -110 | Wed 4:56 PM |
| williamhill_us | +3.5 | -112 | Tue 2:26 PM |
| mybookieag | +3.5 | -110 | Wed 1:26 PM |
| betmgm | +3.5 | -108 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betus | +3.5 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| betanysports | +3.5 | -110 | Thu 12:27 PM |
| bovada | +3.5 | -105 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| everygame | +3.5 | -110 | Wed 1:56 PM |
| matchbook | +3.5 | -106 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| pinnacle | +4 | -112 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betanysports | +58 | -110 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +58.5 | -110 | Wed 12:56 PM |
| coolbet | +58.5 | -112 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| betsson | +58.5 | -114 | Wed 6:26 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +58.5 | -110 | Tue 1:56 PM |
| nordicbet | +58.5 | -115 | Wed 6:26 PM |
| betrivers | +58.5 | -112 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| unibet_nl | +58.5 | -112 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| onexbet | +58.5 | -110 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| betonlineag | +58.5 | -108 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| gtbets | +58.5 | -109 | Mon 11:55 AM |
| lowvig | +58.5 | -106 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| fanatics | +58.5 | -110 | Mon 12:25 PM |
| williamhill_us | +58.5 | -112 | Tue 1:56 PM |
| mybookieag | +58.5 | -110 | Wed 1:26 PM |
| betmgm | +58.5 | -108 | Wed 1:26 PM |
| betus | +58.5 | -110 | Mon 11:25 AM |
| bovada | +58.5 | -110 | Mon 11:55 AM |
| pinnacle | +58.5 | -108 | Wed 8:26 AM |
| matchbook | +58.5 | -104 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| everygame | +58.5 | -110 | Thu 10:27 AM |