The spread (New Mexico State Aggies side) opened at -1 and the market has since moved it to -2.5 — a 1.5-point move toward New Mexico State Aggies. The biggest single jump we captured came Sunday 8:55 PM (-1.5 → -2.5). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 5:57 PM.
The total opened at 53.5 and the market has since moved it to 56.5 — a 3.0-point move upward (toward the over). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 3:55 AM (53.5 → 54.5). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 5:27 PM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.4% of the time when taken at the opening number (798 games, CI 58–64.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Right now the bet exists because draftkings 55.5 (-112) and fanduel 55.5 (-114) have not caught up to the market — you'd be getting part of the move for free. That gap usually closes within hours, so the number in the app is the truth: if it's gone, the bet is gone.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 10 mph (gusts 15), 77°F, 2% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | -2.5 | -106 | Wed 4:56 PM |
| betonlineag | -2.5 | -108 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| betrivers | -2.5 | -112 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| draftkings ★ | -2.5 | -105 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| leovegas_se | -2.5 | -113 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| lowvig | -2.5 | -104 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| onexbet | -2.5 | -110 | Thu 11:27 AM |
| unibet_nl | -2.5 | -112 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| unibet_se | -2.5 | -112 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| gtbets | -2.5 | -104 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| williamhill_us | -2.5 | -106 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| pinnacle | -2.5 | -102 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| everygame | -2.5 | -105 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| coolbet | -2 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| fanatics | -2 | -110 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| betmgm | -2 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| mybookieag | -2 | -110 | Thu 9:57 AM |
| betus | -2 | -110 | Thu 9:27 AM |
| betanysports | -2 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| bovada | -2 | -105 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| betsson | -1.5 | -119 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| nordicbet | -1.5 | -120 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| matchbook | -1.5 | -106 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | +55.5 | -114 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +55.5 | -112 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| onexbet | +55.5 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| williamhill_us | +55.5 | -117 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| matchbook | +55.5 | -111 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| betonlineag | +56 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| betrivers | +56 | -113 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| betsson | +56 | -114 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| coolbet | +56 | -112 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| lowvig | +56 | -108 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| nordicbet | +56 | -115 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| unibet_nl | +56 | -113 | Thu 3:27 PM |
| gtbets | +56 | -109 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| mybookieag | +56 | -110 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| betus | +56 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| betanysports | +56 | -110 | Thu 1:57 PM |
| bovada | +56 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| everygame | +56 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| fanatics | +56.5 | -110 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| betmgm | +56.5 | -110 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| pinnacle | +56.5 | -103 | Thu 5:27 PM |