The spread (Michigan Wolverines side) opened at -1.5 and the market has since moved it to +5.5 — a 7.0-point move toward Oklahoma Sooners. The number is still moving — last change Monday 1:13 PM.
The total opened at 46.5 and the market has since moved it to 43 — a 3.5-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Sunday 6:09 PM (44 → 43). The number is still moving — last change Monday 1:13 PM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.9% of the time when taken at the opening number (591 games, CI 57.9–65.8). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 6 mph (gusts 9), 77°F, 6% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| bovada | +5 | -110 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +5.5 | -105 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| coolbet | +5.5 | -109 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| draftkings ★ | +5.5 | -112 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| onexbet | +5.5 | -110 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| pinnacle | +5.5 | -112 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| betmgm | +5.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| williamhill_us | +5.5 | -109 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| fanatics | +5.5 | -110 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| mybookieag | +5.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| everygame | +5.5 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| unibet_nl | +6 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betrivers | +6 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| leovegas_se | +6 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| unibet_se | +6 | -114 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betonlineag | +6 | -115 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| lowvig | +6 | -111 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| betus | +6 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betanysports | +6 | -105 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| betsson | +6.5 | -123 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| nordicbet | +6.5 | -123 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| coolbet | +43 | -112 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betsson | +43 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| nordicbet | +43 | -115 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| pinnacle | +43 | -117 | Mon 1:13 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +43.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| unibet_nl | +43.5 | -109 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betrivers | +43.5 | -109 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +43.5 | -112 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| williamhill_us | +43.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| onexbet | +43.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betmgm | +43.5 | -110 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| betonlineag | +43.5 | -110 | Sun 2:23 PM |
| lowvig | +43.5 | -108 | Sun 2:23 PM |
| bovada | +43.5 | -105 | Mon 11:58 AM |
| fanatics | +43.5 | -110 | Mon 8:43 AM |
| betus | +43.5 | -110 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| mybookieag | +43.5 | -110 | Sun 7:59 PM |
| betanysports | +44 | -110 | Sun 7:59 PM |