The spread (Hawaii Rainbow Warriors side) opened at -10 and the market has since moved it to -7 — a 3.0-point move toward New Mexico State Aggies. The biggest single jump we captured came Tuesday 10:09 PM (-9 → -7.5). The number is still moving — last change Tuesday 10:40 PM.
The total has barely moved — it opened at 50.5 and sits at 50.5 now. No signal either way.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.9% of the time when taken at the opening number (591 games, CI 57.9–65.8). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every number left behind is at books we don't use (onexbet) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| onexbet | -10.5 | -109 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| mybookieag | -7.5 | -110 | Tue 8:29 PM |
| fanduel ★ | -7.5 | -102 | Tue 8:29 PM |
| draftkings ★ | -7 | -112 | Tue 9:01 PM |
| lowvig | -7 | -111 | Tue 9:01 PM |
| betonlineag | -7 | -115 | Tue 9:01 PM |
| williamhill_us | -7 | -113 | Tue 9:01 PM |
| betmgm | -7 | -102 | Tue 9:38 PM |
| gtbets | -7 | -114 | Tue 10:40 PM |
| coolbet | -7 | -115 | Tue 9:05 PM |
| betus | -7 | -110 | Tue 9:01 PM |
| pinnacle | -7 | -114 | Tue 10:40 PM |
| bovada | -7 | -115 | Tue 10:40 PM |
| leovegas_se | -7 | -114 | Tue 6:59 PM |
| unibet_se | -7 | -113 | Tue 6:59 PM |
| betrivers | -7 | -113 | Tue 6:59 PM |
| unibet_nl | -7 | -113 | Tue 6:59 PM |
| betanysports | -7 | -110 | Tue 8:29 PM |
| fanatics | -7 | -115 | Tue 8:29 PM |
| everygame | -7 | -110 | Tue 9:01 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| draftkings ★ | +49.5 | -110 | Tue 6:59 PM |
| betmgm | +49.5 | -110 | Tue 9:38 PM |
| lowvig | +49.5 | -108 | Tue 9:36 PM |
| betonlineag | +49.5 | -110 | Tue 9:36 PM |
| williamhill_us | +49.5 | -114 | Tue 9:01 PM |
| gtbets | +49.5 | -109 | Tue 11:09 PM |
| coolbet | +49.5 | -110 | Tue 9:05 PM |
| betanysports | +49.5 | -110 | Tue 9:36 PM |
| betus | +50 | -110 | Tue 9:36 PM |
| mybookieag | +50 | -110 | Tue 9:01 PM |
| bovada | +50 | -110 | Tue 9:36 PM |
| fanatics | +50 | -110 | Tue 7:30 PM |
| pinnacle | +50.5 | -101 | Tue 10:09 PM |
| onexbet | +50.5 | -127 | Sun 6:09 PM |
| betrivers | +50.5 | -109 | Tue 6:59 PM |
| unibet_nl | +50.5 | -109 | Tue 6:59 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +50.5 | -110 | Mon 12:50 AM |