The spread (Utah Utes side) opened at -13 and the market has since moved it to -12 — a 1.0-point move toward Arkansas Razorbacks. The biggest single jump we captured came Sunday 7:59 PM (-12 → -13). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 10:55 AM.
The total opened at 57 and the market has since moved it to 54.5 — a 2.5-point move downward (toward the under). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:29 PM (57.5 → 56.5). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 10:55 AM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.1% of the time when taken at the opening number (1325 games, CI 53.4–58.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Right now the bet exists because fanduel 55.5 (-104) has not caught up to the market — you'd be getting part of the move for free. That gap usually closes within hours, so the number in the app is the truth: if it's gone, the bet is gone.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 16 mph (gusts 25), 87°F, 2% precip. Sustained wind of 15+ mph is the one weather factor that historically drags scoring — worth weighing on any total.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betmgm | -13 | -108 | Thu 10:55 AM |
| betonlineag | -13 | -105 | Wed 7:39 AM |
| betus | -13 | -105 | Wed 9:52 PM |
| bovada | -13 | -110 | Wed 5:54 PM |
| mybookieag | -13 | -110 | Wed 2:11 PM |
| fanduel ★ | -12.5 | -110 | Wed 10:09 AM |
| unibet_nl | -12.5 | -112 | Wed 12:09 PM |
| betrivers | -12.5 | -112 | Wed 12:09 PM |
| leovegas_se | -12.5 | -113 | Wed 12:09 PM |
| unibet_se | -12.5 | -112 | Wed 12:09 PM |
| draftkings ★ | -12.5 | -112 | Wed 1:39 PM |
| onexbet | -12.5 | -110 | Mon 12:50 AM |
| williamhill_us | -12.5 | -110 | Wed 1:10 AM |
| gtbets | -12.5 | -109 | Tue 6:29 PM |
| betanysports | -12.5 | -110 | Wed 11:10 AM |
| fanatics | -12.5 | -110 | Thu 10:25 AM |
| everygame | -12.5 | -110 | Wed 10:39 AM |
| matchbook | -12.5 | -116 | Wed 10:22 PM |
| coolbet | -12 | -110 | Thu 10:55 AM |
| pinnacle | -12 | -116 | Thu 10:55 AM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| unibet_nl | +54.5 | -115 | Wed 12:09 PM |
| betrivers | +54.5 | -115 | Wed 12:09 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +54.5 | -115 | Thu 9:52 AM |
| betmgm | +54.5 | -115 | Thu 10:55 AM |
| betonlineag | +54.5 | -110 | Tue 2:29 PM |
| williamhill_us | +54.5 | -115 | Wed 2:09 AM |
| gtbets | +54.5 | -109 | Thu 9:52 AM |
| betus | +54.5 | -110 | Tue 2:29 PM |
| pinnacle | +54.5 | -110 | Thu 10:55 AM |
| bovada | +54.5 | -110 | Thu 10:25 AM |
| fanatics | +54.5 | -115 | Thu 10:25 AM |
| matchbook | +54.5 | -112 | Thu 10:25 AM |
| coolbet | +55 | -112 | Thu 10:55 AM |
| betanysports | +55 | -110 | Tue 2:29 PM |
| mybookieag | +55 | -110 | Tue 1:59 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +55.5 | -104 | Tue 11:59 AM |
| onexbet | +57.5 | -110 | Mon 12:50 AM |