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Ohio Bobcats @ Kent State Golden Flashes
Sat, 10/3, 3:30 PM ET · dashed line = opening number · ★ = our books (DK/FD)
Analysis

The spread (Kent State Golden Flashes side) opened at +5.5 and the market has since moved it to +3.5 — a 2.0-point move toward Kent State Golden Flashes. The biggest single jump we captured came Sunday 10:55 PM (+5 → +4). It last moved Thursday 2:27 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.

The total has barely moved — it opened at 50.5 and sits at 50.5 now. No signal either way.

We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.3% of the time when taken at the opening number (640 games, CI 52.4–60). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.

Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.

Spread (Kent State Golden Flashes) ○ PASS open +5.5 (home) -> now +3.5 | move -2.0 toward Kent State Golden Flashes
→ take Kent State Golden Flashes · this move-size bucket historically 56.3% (CI 52.4–60, n=640)
open +5.5 +3.5 Sun, 9/27 latest Spread (Kent State Golden Flashes) — pinnacle line over time
BookLinePriceAs of
betrivers +3 -106 Thu 5:57 AM
leovegas_se +3 -107 Thu 5:57 AM
unibet_nl +3 -106 Thu 5:57 AM
unibet_se +3 -106 Thu 5:57 AM
fanduel ★ +3.5 -110 Thu 1:57 PM
coolbet +3.5 -112 Thu 1:57 PM
draftkings ★ +3.5 -112 Thu 1:57 PM
lowvig +3.5 -106 Thu 5:57 PM
onexbet +3.5 -115 Thu 2:57 PM
fanatics +3.5 -110 Thu 5:57 PM
williamhill_us +3.5 -106 Mon 7:55 AM
mybookieag +3.5 -110 Thu 1:57 PM
betmgm +3.5 -110 Thu 3:57 PM
betus +3.5 -110 Thu 1:57 PM
betanysports +3.5 -110 Thu 1:57 PM
bovada +3.5 -115 Thu 1:57 PM
pinnacle +3.5 -113 Thu 2:27 PM
everygame +3.5 -110 Thu 1:57 PM
betonlineag +4 -110 Thu 1:57 PM
Total (over) no meaningful move off the opener yet
open +50.5 +50.5 Sun, 9/27 latest Total (over) — pinnacle line over time
BookLinePriceAs of
fanduel ★ +50.5 -114 Sun 4:55 PM
betonlineag +50.5 -115 Mon 7:55 AM
betrivers +50.5 -109 Tue 5:55 AM
draftkings ★ +50.5 -112 Sun 9:55 PM
lowvig +50.5 -114 Mon 7:55 AM
onexbet +50.5 -110 Thu 8:57 AM
unibet_nl +50.5 -109 Tue 5:55 AM
fanatics +50.5 -115 Thu 5:57 PM
williamhill_us +50.5 -108 Sun 4:55 PM
mybookieag +50.5 -110 Mon 1:55 AM
betmgm +50.5 -115 Thu 3:57 PM
betus +50.5 -115 Mon 7:55 AM
betanysports +50.5 -110 Sun 6:25 PM
pinnacle +50.5 -113 Wed 8:26 AM
everygame +50.5 -110 Thu 10:27 AM
coolbet +51 -109 Wed 1:56 PM
bovada +51 -110 Thu 1:57 PM
How to read this: the chart shows the sharp line drifting away from the dashed opener — that drift is the edge (3+ point movers cover ~62% historically). The book table shows who has repriced and who is still selling an old number. A bet only exists at a ★ book whose line is meaningfully behind the market.