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Fordham Rams @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Sat, 9/12, 7:30 PM ET · dashed line = opening number · ★ = our books (DK/FD)
Analysis

The spread (Coastal Carolina Chanticleers side) opened at -31.5 and the market has since moved it to -33.5 — a 2.0-point move toward Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. The biggest single jump we captured came Wednesday 6:52 PM (-31.5 → -33.5). It last moved Wednesday 6:52 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.

The total has barely moved — it opened at 52.5 and sits at 52.5 now. No signal either way.

We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.3% of the time when taken at the opening number (640 games, CI 52.4–60). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.

Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.

Forecast at kickoff: wind 8 mph (gusts 22), 81°F, 64% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.

Spread (Coastal Carolina Chanticleers) ○ PASS open -31.5 (home) -> now -33.5 | move -2.0 toward Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
→ take Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · this move-size bucket historically 56.3% (CI 52.4–60, n=640)
open -31.5 -33.5 Wed, 9/9 latest Spread (Coastal Carolina Chanticleers) — draftkings line over time
BookLinePriceAs of
fanduel ★ -34.5 -110 Wed 5:54 PM
fanatics -34 -115 Thu 7:24 AM
betrivers -34 -110 Wed 6:52 PM
leovegas_se -33.5 -115 Wed 6:52 PM
unibet_se -33.5 -115 Wed 6:52 PM
draftkings ★ -33.5 -115 Wed 6:52 PM
gtbets -33.5 -109 Wed 7:22 PM
williamhill_us -33.5 -115 Thu 5:52 AM
Total (over) ◐ LEAN open 52.5 -> now 53.75 | move 1.3
→ take OVER
open +52.5 +52.5 Wed, 9/9 latest Total (over) — draftkings line over time
BookLinePriceAs of
draftkings ★ +52.5 -112 Wed 6:52 PM
gtbets +52.5 -109 Wed 2:43 PM
williamhill_us +53.5 -107 Wed 2:43 PM
fanatics +54 -110 Thu 7:24 AM
betrivers +54 -109 Wed 6:52 PM
fanduel ★ +54.5 -106 Wed 7:54 PM
How to read this: the chart shows the sharp line drifting away from the dashed opener — that drift is the edge (3+ point movers cover ~62% historically). The book table shows who has repriced and who is still selling an old number. A bet only exists at a ★ book whose line is meaningfully behind the market.