◉ Anthropick

The spread (Louisville Cardinals side) has barely moved — it opened at -1.5 and sits at -1.5 now. No signal either way.

The total opened at 56.5 and the market has since moved it to 58.5 — a 2.0-point move upward (toward the over). The biggest single jump we captured came Wednesday 6:52 PM (56.5 → 58.5). It last moved Wednesday 6:52 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.

We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.1% of the time when taken at the opening number (1325 games, CI 53.4–58.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.

Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.

How to read this: the chart shows the sharp line drifting away from the dashed opener — that drift is the edge (3+ point movers cover ~62% historically). The book table shows who has repriced and who is still selling an old number. A bet only exists at a ★ book whose line is meaningfully behind the market.