The spread (Georgia State Panthers side) opened at +1 and the market has since moved it to -2.5 — a 3.5-point move toward Georgia State Panthers. The biggest single jump we captured came Sunday 8:25 PM (+1 → -1.5). It last moved Wednesday 8:56 PM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
The total opened at 50 and the market has since moved it to 51 — a 1.0-point move upward (toward the over). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 12:25 PM (50.5 → 51.5). It last moved Thursday 10:27 AM and has held since, which reads as the market settling on this price.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, spreads that moved 3+ points covered the direction of the move 61.9% of the time when taken at the opening number (591 games, CI 57.9–65.8). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every number left behind is at books we don't use (betsson, nordicbet, williamhill_us) — so for us this is a tracked move, not a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 7 mph (gusts 5), 83°F, 66% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | -2.5 | -106 | Tue 1:26 PM |
| coolbet | -2.5 | -109 | Wed 5:56 PM |
| betrivers | -2.5 | -110 | Wed 10:56 AM |
| draftkings ★ | -2.5 | -112 | Wed 5:56 PM |
| leovegas_se | -2.5 | -112 | Wed 10:56 AM |
| unibet_nl | -2.5 | -110 | Wed 10:56 AM |
| unibet_se | -2.5 | -110 | Wed 10:56 AM |
| betonlineag | -2.5 | -112 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| gtbets | -2.5 | -109 | Tue 6:56 PM |
| lowvig | -2.5 | -108 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| onexbet | -2.5 | -110 | Thu 5:27 AM |
| fanatics | -2.5 | -110 | Wed 2:26 PM |
| mybookieag | -2.5 | -110 | Wed 2:56 PM |
| betmgm | -2.5 | -110 | Wed 2:26 PM |
| betus | -2.5 | -105 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| betanysports | -2.5 | -110 | Tue 6:56 PM |
| bovada | -2.5 | -110 | Wed 8:26 PM |
| pinnacle | -2.5 | -109 | Wed 8:56 PM |
| everygame | -2.5 | -115 | Wed 3:26 PM |
| matchbook | -2.5 | -105 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| williamhill_us | +1 | -113 | Mon 7:55 AM |
| betsson | +1.5 | -116 | Sun 12:25 PM |
| nordicbet | +1.5 | -118 | Sun 12:25 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| williamhill_us | +50.5 | -110 | Sun 4:55 PM |
| mybookieag | +51 | -110 | Wed 10:56 AM |
| pinnacle | +51 | -118 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| everygame | +51 | -110 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| fanduel ★ | +51.5 | -112 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| coolbet | +51.5 | -110 | Thu 10:57 AM |
| betrivers | +51.5 | -110 | Tue 3:26 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +51.5 | -110 | Thu 10:27 AM |
| unibet_nl | +51.5 | -110 | Tue 3:26 PM |
| betonlineag | +51.5 | -107 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| gtbets | +51.5 | -109 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| lowvig | +51.5 | -105 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| onexbet | +51.5 | -110 | Thu 5:27 AM |
| fanatics | +51.5 | -110 | Wed 10:56 AM |
| betmgm | +51.5 | -108 | Wed 9:56 AM |
| betus | +51.5 | -110 | Thu 9:57 AM |
| betanysports | +51.5 | -110 | Wed 8:56 PM |
| bovada | +51.5 | -110 | Wed 10:56 AM |
| matchbook | +51.5 | -105 | Thu 3:57 PM |
| betsson | +52 | -112 | Sun 12:25 PM |
| nordicbet | +52 | -114 | Sun 12:25 PM |