The spread (USC Trojans side) opened at -10 and the market has since moved it to -9 — a 1.0-point move toward Washington Huskies. The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 8:55 AM (-10 → -9). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 5:27 PM.
The total opened at 55.5 and the market has since moved it to 57.5 — a 2.0-point move upward (toward the over). The biggest single jump we captured came Monday 11:55 AM (56.5 → 57.5). The number is still moving — last change Thursday 5:27 PM.
We don't know *why* the market moved — injury news, sharp money, or weather are all invisible to us and to every public bettor. What we do know is the pattern: across five seasons, totals that moved 2–3 points covered the direction of the move 56.1% of the time when taken at the opening number (1325 games, CI 53.4–58.7). The market correcting an opener is information in itself — that's the whole strategy.
Every book has fully repriced, so there's nothing left to buy — this page exists to track how the move resolves, not to recommend a bet.
Forecast at kickoff: wind 12 mph (gusts 14), 95°F, 0% precip. Nothing here that historically moves totals.
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| fanduel ★ | -9.5 | -104 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betrivers | -9.5 | -114 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| leovegas_se | -9.5 | -115 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| unibet_nl | -9.5 | -114 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| unibet_se | -9.5 | -114 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| onexbet | -9.5 | -115 | Thu 9:27 AM |
| fanatics | -9.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betus | -9.5 | -110 | Thu 2:27 PM |
| everygame | -9.5 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betonlineag | -9 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| lowvig | -9 | -106 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| gtbets | -9 | -109 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| mybookieag | -9 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| betanysports | -9 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| bovada | -9 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| pinnacle | -9 | -108 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| draftkings ★ | -8.5 | -112 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betsson | -8.5 | -114 | Mon 12:25 PM |
| coolbet | -8.5 | -109 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| nordicbet | -8.5 | -115 | Mon 12:25 PM |
| williamhill_us | -8.5 | -109 | Thu 5:57 PM |
| betmgm | -8.5 | -108 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| matchbook | -8 | -114 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| Book | Line | Price | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| betsson | +57.5 | -116 | Mon 12:25 PM |
| nordicbet | +57.5 | -118 | Mon 12:25 PM |
| pinnacle | +57.5 | -112 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| matchbook | +57.5 | -111 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| fanatics | +58 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| gtbets | +58 | -109 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| betus | +58 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| betanysports | +58 | -110 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| bovada | +58 | -105 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| draftkings ★ | +58.5 | -105 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| coolbet | +58.5 | -109 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| fanduel ★ | +58.5 | -105 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| onexbet | +58.5 | -115 | Wed 6:26 PM |
| williamhill_us | +58.5 | -112 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| betmgm | +58.5 | -108 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| mybookieag | +58.5 | -110 | Thu 4:57 PM |
| everygame | +58.5 | -115 | Thu 4:27 PM |
| betrivers | +59 | -109 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| unibet_nl | +59 | -109 | Thu 1:27 PM |
| betonlineag | +59 | -110 | Thu 5:27 PM |
| lowvig | +59 | -108 | Thu 5:27 PM |