Record
4–1
our picks, all graded
Live bets now
1
green cards below
Avg CLV
+0.80
beating the close = real edge
Data age
2m
updates every 30–60 min
This week — actionable at DraftKings / FanDuel
lines as of 12:55 PM ET — books reprice constantly, always verify in the app before betting
open -30 (home) -> now -33.5 | move -3.5 toward Auburn Tigers
→ take Auburn Tigers
· historically 61.9% (CI 57.9–65.8, n=591)
✓ bettable: draftkings -32.5 (-110)5 other books stale (not DK/FD)
⏱ Expired — was bettable, book has repriced
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Utah Utes
— total under
+55.5 was live at fanduel (logged Thu 11:00 AM).
Now priced out — if you got it, you already beat the close. Graded in
Record after the game.
Looking ahead — next week (preview only)
Lines already moving for next week's games. NOT bettable picks yet — teams still have this week's game to play, so anything can change. These become eligible picks Sunday morning, after the current slate finishes.
open 53.5 -> now 49.25 | move -4.3
→ take UNDER
· historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open -1.5 (home) -> now +2.25 | move 3.8 toward Florida Gators
→ take Florida Gators
· historically 61.9% (CI 57.9–65.8, n=591)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open 52.5 -> now 55.5 | move 3.0
→ take OVER
· historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)
1 other book stale (not DK/FD)
open 56.5 -> now 58.5 | move 2.0
→ take OVER
· historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
Tracking — moves we saw, value already gone
open -1.5 (home) -> now +5.5 | move 7.0 toward Oklahoma Sooners
→ take Oklahoma Sooners
· historically 61.9% (CI 57.9–65.8, n=591)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open 53 -> now 56.5 | move 3.5
→ take OVER
· historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)
1 other book stale (not DK/FD)
open 46.5 -> now 43 | move -3.5
→ take UNDER
· historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open -56.5 (home) -> now -59.5 | move -3.0 toward Miami Hurricanes
→ take Miami Hurricanes
· historically 61.9% (CI 57.9–65.8, n=591)
1 other book stale (not DK/FD)
open 50.5 -> now 47.5 | move -3.0
→ take UNDER
· historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open 49.5 -> now 46.5 | move -3.0
→ take UNDER
· historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)
2 other books stale (not DK/FD)
open -10 (home) -> now -7 | move 3.0 toward New Mexico State Aggies
→ take New Mexico State Aggies
· historically 61.9% (CI 57.9–65.8, n=591)
1 other book stale (not DK/FD)
open 51 -> now 54 | move 3.0
→ take OVER
· historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open +1 (home) -> now -1.5 | move -2.5 toward Texas State Bobcats
→ take Texas State Bobcats
· historically 56.3% (CI 52.4–60, n=640)
2 other books stale (not DK/FD)
open 62.5 -> now 65 | move 2.5
→ take OVER
· historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open 47.5 -> now 49.5 | move 2.0
→ take OVER
· historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)
3 other books stale (not DK/FD)
open 53 -> now 55 | move 2.0
→ take OVER
· historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)
1 other book stale (not DK/FD)
open 53.5 -> now 51.5 | move -2.0
→ take UNDER
· historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open -31.5 (home) -> now -33.5 | move -2.0 toward Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
→ take Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
· historically 56.3% (CI 52.4–60, n=640)
move fully priced — no DK/FD number left
open 51.5 -> now 53.5 | move 2.0
→ take OVER
· historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)
1 other book stale (not DK/FD)