Anthropick — CFB Picks

Record

4–1

our picks, all graded

Live bets now

green cards below

Avg CLV

+0.80

beating the close = real edge

Data age

26m

updates every 30–60 min

This week — actionable at DraftKings / FanDuel

lines as of 4:59 PM ET — books reprice constantly, always verify in the app before betting

● BET TOTAL Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Auburn Tigers Sat, 9/12, 7:45 PM ET full analysis →

open 53 -> now 57.5 | move 4.5

→ take OVER · historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)

✓ bettable: fanduel 56.5 (-112) ✓ bettable: draftkings 56.5 (-110)6 other books stale (not DK/FD)

● BET SPREAD Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Auburn Tigers Sat, 9/12, 7:45 PM ET full analysis →

open -30 (home) -> now -33.5 | move -3.5 toward Auburn Tigers

→ take Auburn Tigers · historically 61.9% (CI 57.9–65.8, n=591)

✓ bettable: fanduel -32.5 (-106)1 other book stale (not DK/FD)

⏱ Expired — was bettable, book has repriced

Ohio State Buckeyes @ Texas Longhorns — spread away +1.5 was live at draftkings (logged Mon 2:10 PM). Now priced out — if you got it, you already beat the close. Graded in Record after the game.

Washington State Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats — total under +50.5 was live at fanduel (logged Mon 2:10 PM). Now priced out — if you got it, you already beat the close. Graded in Record after the game.

Washington State Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats — spread home -17.5 was live at fanduel (logged Mon 6:31 PM). Now priced out — if you got it, you already beat the close. Graded in Record after the game.

Florida A&M Rattlers @ Miami Hurricanes — spread away +55.5 was live at draftkings (logged Mon 5:01 PM). Now priced out — if you got it, you already beat the close. Graded in Record after the game.

Tracking — moves we saw, value already gone

○ PASS SPREAD Oklahoma Sooners @ Michigan Wolverines Sat, 9/12, 12:00 PM ET full analysis →

open -1.5 (home) -> now +5.5 | move 7.0 toward Oklahoma Sooners

→ take Oklahoma Sooners · historically 61.9% (CI 57.9–65.8, n=591)

move fully priced — no DK/FD number left

○ PASS TOTAL Oklahoma Sooners @ Michigan Wolverines Sat, 9/12, 12:00 PM ET full analysis →

open 46.5 -> now 43 | move -3.5

→ take UNDER · historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)

move fully priced — no DK/FD number left

○ PASS TOTAL Arizona Wildcats @ BYU Cougars Sat, 9/12, 3:30 PM ET full analysis →

open 50.5 -> now 47.5 | move -3.0

→ take UNDER · historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)

2 other books stale (not DK/FD)

○ PASS TOTAL South Florida Bulls @ Army Black Knights Sat, 9/12, 12:00 PM ET full analysis →

open 49.5 -> now 46.5 | move -3.0

→ take UNDER · historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)

move fully priced — no DK/FD number left

○ PASS TOTAL Georgia State Panthers @ Kennesaw State Owls Sat, 9/12, 7:00 PM ET full analysis →

open 51 -> now 54 | move 3.0

→ take OVER · historically 61.4% (CI 58–64.7, n=798)

move fully priced — no DK/FD number left

○ PASS SPREAD UTSA Roadrunners @ Texas State Bobcats Sat, 9/12, 3:30 PM ET full analysis →

open +1 (home) -> now -1.5 | move -2.5 toward Texas State Bobcats

→ take Texas State Bobcats · historically 56.3% (CI 52.4–60, n=640)

move fully priced — no DK/FD number left

○ PASS TOTAL UTSA Roadrunners @ Texas State Bobcats Sat, 9/12, 3:30 PM ET full analysis →

open 64.5 -> now 66.5 | move 2.0

→ take OVER · historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)

move fully priced — no DK/FD number left

○ PASS TOTAL San Diego State Aztecs @ UCLA Bruins Sat, 9/12, 7:15 PM ET full analysis →

open 53 -> now 55 | move 2.0

→ take OVER · historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)

1 other book stale (not DK/FD)

○ PASS TOTAL Duke Blue Devils @ Illinois Fighting Illini Sat, 9/12, 3:30 PM ET full analysis →

open 53.5 -> now 51.5 | move -2.0

→ take UNDER · historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)

move fully priced — no DK/FD number left

○ PASS TOTAL Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oregon State Beavers Sat, 9/12, 7:30 PM ET full analysis →

open 51.5 -> now 53.5 | move 2.0

→ take OVER · historically 56.1% (CI 53.4–58.7, n=1325)

1 other book stale (not DK/FD)

◉ Anthropick

This week — actionable at DraftKings / FanDuel

⏱ Expired — was bettable, book has repriced

Tracking — moves we saw, value already gone